Lista actualizada de especies, distribución y modelaje de musgos alpinos del centro de México
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.22201/ib.20078706e.2026.97.5634Palabras clave:
Bryophyta, Mapeo digital, Aprendizaje automático, Maxent, Elevaciones mexicanas, Modelaje predictivo, Modelos de distribuciónResumen
El Eje Neovolcánico ha influido en los patrones de distribución continental de musgos. Desde 1971, no se revisaba el número y la distribución de especies alpinas. Este trabajo actualiza el listado para el Eje Neovolcánico y explica la distribución mediante modelos de distribución de especies (SDM) para 4 casos seleccionados. En teoría, los musgos se distribuyeron por migración entre zonas alpinas. El intercambio mediante corredores entre sitios ecológicamente similares de elevaciones más bajas permitió el ingreso de otras especies. Los SDM ofrecieron predicciones precisas, de alta a relativamente alta, para todas las especies modeladas (mAUC = 0.88 ± 0.06; mCBI = 0.72 ± 0.09) y confirmaron la hipótesis de los corredores. En general, la elevación fue el predictor más importante de distribución de especies, mostrando una relación sigmoidal positiva con la idoneidad ambiental. Tales modelos capturaron de manera efectiva la señal climática integrada a través de la elevación, por su fuerte correlación negativa con varios predictores relacionados con temperatura y precipitación. De 120 taxones de musgos alpinos, unos tienen distribución generalizada, otros se distribuyen principalmente en las montañas del este o del oeste. Trabajo de campo adicional explicaría mejor la distribución.
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